Pollution%20or%20Crime%3A%20The%20Effect%20of%20Driving%20Restrictions%20on%20Criminal%20Activity

Working Papers

Pollution or Crime: The Effect of Driving Restrictions on Criminal Activity


CODE: IDB-WP-698
AUTHOR(s): Carrillo, Paul , López, Andrea , Malik, Arun
PUBLISHED: July 2016
LANGUAGE: English
RELATED TOPICS: Microeconomics
DOWNLOAD FILE IN: English

Abstract:

Driving restriction programs have been implemented in many cities around the world to alleviate pollution and congestion problems. Enforcement of such programs is costly and can potentially displace policing resources used for crime prevention and crime detection. Hence, driving restrictions may increase crime. To test this hypothesis, this paper exploits both temporal and spatial variation in the implementation of Quito, Ecuador’s Pico y Placa program and evaluates its effect on crime. Both difference-in-difference and spatial regression discontinuity estimates provide credible evidence that driving restrictions can increase crime rates.

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