Politics%20under%20the%20Weather%3A%20Droughts%2C%20Parties%20and%20Electoral%20Outcomes

Working Papers

Politics under the Weather: Droughts, Parties and Electoral Outcomes


CODE: IDB-WP-455
AUTHOR(s): Bastos, Paulo , Miller, Sebastian
PUBLISHED: October 2013
LANGUAGE: English
RELATED TOPICS: Government and Democracy
DOWNLOAD FILE IN: English

Abstract:

The increased occurrence of extreme weather conditions leading to drought is a key development challenge. This paper studies how these extreme events interact with the political process at the local level using rich administrative data for drought declarations and mayoral elections in Brazil. While accounting for current and historical rainfall patterns, the paper finds that that: i) municipalities led by a mayor affiliated with the President’s party are more likely to receive formal drought declarations prior to the municipal election; and ii) receiving a drought declaration reinforces the electoral advantage of incumbent mayors running for reelection. These results are robust to the inclusion of a rich set of controls for municipal attributes.

Related Research by JEL Codes:
(or click here to find research by JEL Codes)
  • The Political Game in Latin America: How Are Public Policies Determined?
    Books
    IDB-BK-102 - January 2011

    What determines the capacity of countries to design, approve and implement effective public policies? To address this question, this book builds on the results of case studies of political institutions, policymaking processes, and policy outcomes in eight Latin American countries. The result is a volume that benefits from both micro detail on the intricacies of policymaking in individual coun ... (View publication)

  • How Democracy Works: Political Institutions, Actors, and Arenas in Latin American Policymaking
    Books
    IDB-BK-101 - August 2010

    Over the past 30 years, democratic freedoms and competitive electoral processes have taken hold as never before in Latin America. How Democracy Works takes a detailed look, from an institutional perspective, at each of the main actors on the policymaking stage in Latin America, emphasizing the extent to which institutions facilitate or hinder intertemporal political cooperation and compromise. It ... (View publication)

  • Policymaking in Latin America. How Politics Shapes Policies
    Books
    B-626 - February 2008

    What determines the capacity of countries to design, approve and implement effective public policies? To address this question, this book builds on the results of case studies of political institutions, policymaking processes, and policy outcomes in eight Latin American countries. The result is a volume that benefits from both micro detail on the intricacies of policymaking in individual countries ... (View publication)

Hello, Welcome to the IDB!

Please join our mailing list by simply entering your email below.