Why%20Do%20Populist%2DOutsiders%20Get%20Elected%3F%20A%20Model%20of%20Strategic%20Populists

Working Papers

Why Do Populist-Outsiders Get Elected? A Model of Strategic Populists


CODE: IDB-WP-248
AUTHOR(s): Miller, Sebastian
PUBLISHED: May 2011
LANGUAGE: English
RELATED TOPICS: Government and Democracy
DOWNLOAD FILE IN: English

Abstract:

The existence of populist regimes led by outsiders is not new in history. In this paper a simple framework is presented that shows how and why a populist outsider can be elected to office, and under what conditions he is more likely to be elected. The results show that countries with a higher income and wealth concentration are more likely to elect populist outsiders than countries where income and wealth are more equally distributed. It is also shown that elections with a runoff are less likely to bring these populist outsiders into office.

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